Lincoln’s Weblog

A few words a day keep the shrink away…

Fabulous Furry Friday

Friday am and I’ve already been to the chiro. Both KG and Ronnie are home and down with something nasty and it’s just one of those moist, foggy, but tolerably warm January days that seem as though there’s no real demarcation between the sky and the sea (in spite of us being so disturbingly far inland.) Not bad for January though.
I’m waiting for a couple of contractors to come over and give us bids on a kitchen remodel. It’s not huge but it’s huge enough that it’ll upset the house for a few weeks. That’ll be a joy. It’ll be KG who gets the worst of the disorder as she works at home. At least I have an office to go to.
So, I checked the health insurance and I get 12 chiropractor visits a year. I don’t know if that’s going to do it for me but I don’t really have a budget for paying out of pocket right now. I’ll chat with her about it and see if she has any suggestions other than turning my head to the side and coughing. I know I should begin swimming, that would likely help my shoulders, and walking, etc. It’s my next evolutionary leap.
So, is the Kooch cool, or what? Requesting a recount in New Hampshire is such a great move! I’d love to vote for that guy. This country would be a very different place with him in the White House (of course it would have to be very different for him to get there in the first place, but evolution happens and maybe when things get ugly enough we will begin to embrace change in order to survive.) It’s getting there.
Anyhow, now that the holidaze are over, it’s time to begin planning G-lo’s 85th birthday party. It looks as though it’s going be take place a couple of weeks after her 86th birthday this October. We’re still negotiating over location, guest list, payment options, etc. Once we have a guest list (~40), I’ll mail merge a save the date card to them all. I’m not sure what parts of this we’re (KG and me) not going to have to do ourselves but it looks a lot like none from here. I think we trained the family at Christmas that they need to do nothing to ensure that we have excellent events, and now they’re all lining up to do it (nothing.) Oh well, no good deed goes unpunished. Actually, my brother bought all the wine and liquor for Christmas so it’s not the entire family, but there truly are some pikers amongst the rest of the crowd (where did that word come from?)
So, I’m sure I have some work to do.

No, I didn’t have a stroke.

January 11, 2008 Posted by lincolnfarnum | Uncategorized | | No Comments Yet

Go Kooch!!

Kucinich Seeks NH Dem Vote Recount
Jan 10 11:15 PM US/Eastern
By STEPHEN FROTHINGHAM
Associated Press Writer

CONCORD, N.H. (AP) – Democrat Dennis Kucinich, who won less than 2 percent of the vote in the New Hampshire primary, said Thursday he wants a recount to ensure that all ballots in his party’s contest were counted. The Ohio congressman cited “serious and credible reports, allegations and rumors” about the integrity of Tuesday results.

Deputy Secretary of State David Scanlan said Kucinich is entitled to a statewide recount. But, under New Hampshire law, Kucinich will have to pay for it. Scanlan said he had “every confidence” the results are accurate.

In a letter dated Thursday, Kucinich said he does not expect significant changes in his vote total, but wants assurance that “100 percent of the voters had 100 percent of their votes counted.”

Kucinich alluded to online reports alleging disparities around the state between hand-counted ballots, which tended to favor Sen. Barack Obama, and machine-counted ones that tended to favor Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton. He also noted the difference between pre-election polls, which indicated Obama would win, and Clinton’s triumph by a 39 percent to 37 percent margin.

Candidates who lose by 3 percentage or less are entitled to a recount for a $2,000 fee. Candidates who lose by more must pay for the full cost. Kucinich’s campaign said it was sending the $2,000 fee to start the recount.

Scanlon said his office had received several phone calls since Tuesday, mostly from outside the state, questioning the results. New Hampshire’s voting machines are not linked in any way, which Scanlon says reduce the likelihood of tampering with results on a statewide level. Also, the results can be checked against paper ballots.

“I think people from out of state don’t completely understand how our process works and they compare it to the system that might exist in Florida or Ohio, where they have had serious problems,” he said. “Perhaps the best thing that could happen for us is to have a recount to show the people that … the votes that were cast on election day were accurately reflected in the results. And I have every confidence that will be the case.”

January 11, 2008 Posted by lincolnfarnum | Uncategorized | | No Comments Yet

Democratic Votes in New Hampshire

An interesting analysis of hand counted vs. machine counted votes in the New Hampshire primary. 81% of all votes in New Hamphire were counted by Diebold equipment.

It seems there were discrepancies between machine and hand counted votes, they also seem consistent throughout most precincts. I think the Republican numbers are fascinating.

Republican Analysis

Table Comparing Machine vs Hand Counts

Candidate Total Votes Avg. Overall Votes
by Machine
Avg. Overall
by Machine
Votes
by Hand
Avg. Overall
by Hand
Machine VS Hand Votes
by Unknown**
Avg. Overall
by Unknown
Clinton 112,166 39.003% 91,600 40.121% 20,529 34.703% 5.419% (15,584 votes*) 37

31.897%

Edwards 48,618 16.906% 38,210 16.736% 10,402 17.584% -0.847% (-2,437 votes*) 6 5.172%
Gravel 402 0.140% 317 0.139% 85 0.144% -0.005% (-14 votes*) 0 0.000%
Kucinich 3,893 1.354% 2,801 1.227% 1,090 1.843% -0.616% (-1,771 votes*) 2

1.724%

Obama 104,639 36.386% 81,633 35.756% 22,944 38.785% -3.029% (-8,711 votes*) 62 53.448%
Richardson 13,235 4.602% 9,936 4.352% 3,290 5.561% -1.209% (-3,478 votes*) 9 7.759%
Other 4,627 1.609% 3,810 1.669% 817 1.381% 0.288% (827 votes*) 0

0.000%

TOTALS: 287,580 228,307 59,157 116

*Votes are tentatively won or lost with the assumption that the machines are conferring advantages or disadvantages.
**Unknown towns (where the data doesn’t specify counting method) include: Harts Location, Waterville, Wentworth’s Location

Table Comparing Machine vs Hand Counted Votes in Small Towns (less than 750 votes)

Candidate Votes
Small Towns
Avg. Overall
Small Towns
Votes
Small Towns
by Machine
Avg. Overall
Small Towns
by Machine
Votes
Small Towns
by Hand
Avg. Overall
Small Towns
by Hand
Machine VS Hand
in Small Towns
Clinton 14,753

34.132%

2,167 37.369% 12,549 33.635% 3.733%
Edwards 7,609 17.604% 1,077

18.572%

6,526 17.492% 1.080%
Gravel 69 0.160% 10 0.172% 59

0.158%

0.014%
Kucinich 754 1.744% 65

1.121%

687 1.841% -0.720%
Obama 16,865 39.018% 2,032 35.041% 14,771

39.591%

-4.550%
Richardson 2,489 5.758% 339

5.846%

2,141 5.739% 0.107%
Other 685 1.585% 109 1.880% 576

1.544%

0.336%
TOTALS: 43,224 5,799 37,309

Table Comparing Machine vs Hand Counted Votes in Medium Towns (between 750 and 1,500 votes)

Candidate Votes
Medium Towns
Avg. Overall
Medium Towns
Votes
Medium Towns
by Machine
Avg. Overall
Medium Towns
by Machine
Votes
Medium Towns
by Hand
Avg. Overall
Medium Towns
by Hand
Machine VS Hand
in Medium Towns
Clinton 23,133 38.600% 17,044

40.233%

6,089 34.662% 5.572%
Edwards 10,805 18.029% 7,706 18.190% 3,099

17.641%

0.549%
Gravel 77 0.128% 55

0.130%

22 0.125% 0.005%
Kucinich 823 1.373% 453 1.069% 370

2.106%

-1.037%
Obama 21,463 35.813% 14,643

34.566%

6,820 38.823% -4.257%
Richardson 2,847 4.751% 1,853 4.374% 994

5.658%

-1.284%
Other 782 1.305% 609

1.438%

173 0.985% 0.453%
TOTALS: 59,930 42,363 17,567

Table Comparing Machine vs Hand Counted Votes in Large Towns (more than 1,500 votes)

Candidate Votes
Large Towns
Avg. Overall
Large Towns
Votes
Large Towns
by Machine
Avg. Overall
Large Towns
by Machine
Votes
Large Towns
by Hand
Avg. Overall
Large Towns
by Hand
Machine VS Hand
in Large Towns
Clinton 74,280

40.276%

72,389 40.184% 1,891 44.172% -3.988%
Edwards 30,204 16.377% 29,427

16.335%

777 18.150% -1.815%
Gravel 256 0.139% 252 0.140% 4

0.093%

0.046%
Kucinich 2,316 1.256% 2,283

1.267%

33 0.771% 0.496%
Obama 66,311 35.955% 64,958 36.059% 1,353

31.605%

4.454%
Richardson 7,899 4.283% 7,744

4.299%

155 3.621% 0.678%
Other 3,160 1.713% 3,092 1.716% 68

1.588%

0.128%
TOTALS: 184,426 180,145 4,281

An interesting blog discussing these findings.

January 11, 2008 Posted by lincolnfarnum | Uncategorized | | No Comments Yet

Republican Votes in New Hampshire

An interesting analysis of hand counted vs. machine counted votes in the New Hampshire primary. 81% of all votes in New Hamphire were counted by Diebold equipment.

It seems there were discrepancies between machine and hand counted votes, they also seem consistent throughout most precincts.

Democrat Analysis

Table Comparing Machine vs Hand Counts

Candidate Total Votes Avg. Overall Votes
by Machine
Avg. Overall
by Machine
Votes
by Hand
Avg. Overall
by Hand
Machine VS Hand Votes
by Unknown**
Avg. Overall
by Unknown
Giuliani 20,387 8.533% 16,327 8.638% 4,057 8.144% 0.494% (1,180 votes*) 3

3.261%

Huckabee 26,760 11.201% 20,124 10.647% 6,622 13.294% -2.646% (-6,322 votes*) 14 15.217%
Hunter 1,220 0.511% 930 0.492% 290 0.582% -0.090% (-215 votes*) 0 0.000%
McCain 88,447 37.021% 68,833 36.419% 19,573 39.293% -2.874% (-6,867 votes*) 41

44.565%

Paul 18,276 7.650% 13,671 7.233% 4,600 9.235% -2.001% (-4,781 votes*) 5 5.435%
Romney 75,202 31.477% 62,455 33.044% 12,720 25.536% 7.509% (17,939 votes*) 27 29.348%
Thompson 2,884 1.207% 2,213 1.171% 671 1.347% -0.176% (-421 votes*) 0

0.000%

Other 5,733 2.400% 4,451 2.355% 1,280 2.570% -0.215% (-513 votes*) 2 2.174%
TOTALS: 238,909

189,004

49,813 92

*Votes are tentatively won or lost with the assumption that the machines are conferring advantages or disadvantages.

**Unknown towns (where the data doesn’t specify counting method) include: Harts Location, Waterville, Wentworth’s Location

Table Comparing Machine vs Hand Counted Votes in Small Towns (less than 750 votes)

Candidate Votes
Small Towns
Avg. Overall
Small Towns
Votes
Small Towns
by Machine
Avg. Overall
Small Towns
by Machine
Votes
Small Towns
by Hand
Avg. Overall
Small Towns
by Hand
Machine VS Hand
in Small Towns
Giuliani 3,734 8.196% 852 7.876%

2,879

8.309% -0.433%
Huckabee 5,863 12.869%

1,414

13.071% 4,435 12.800% 0.271%
Hunter 280 0.615% 55 0.508%

225

0.649% -0.141%
McCain 18,176 39.896%

4,153

38.390% 13,982 40.353% -1.964%
Paul 4,230 9.285% 998 9.225%

3,227

9.313% -0.088%
Romney 11,371 24.959%

2,924

27.029% 8,420 24.301% 2.728%
Thompson 657 1.442% 164 1.516%

493

1.423% 0.093%
Other 1,248 2.739%

258

2.385% 988 2.851% -0.467%
TOTALS: 45,559 10,818 34,649

Table Comparing Machine vs Hand Counted Votes in Medium Towns (between 750 and 1,500 votes)

Candidate Votes
Medium Towns
Avg. Overall
Medium Towns
Votes
Medium Towns
by Machine
Avg. Overall
Medium Towns
by Machine
Votes
Medium Towns
by Hand
Avg. Overall
Medium Towns
by Hand
Machine VS Hand
in Medium Towns
Giuliani 4,906 8.345% 3,841 8.487%

1,065

7.870% 0.618%
Huckabee 7,351 12.504%

5,473

12.094% 1,878 13.877% -1.783%
Hunter 318 0.541% 260 0.575%

58

0.429% 0.146%
McCain 21,816 37.110%

16,818

37.163% 4,998 36.932% 0.231%
Paul 4,795 8.156% 3,542 7.827%

1,253

9.259% -1.432%
Romney 17,540 29.836%

13,638

30.136% 3,902 28.833% 1.303%
Thompson 758 1.289% 602 1.330%

156

1.153% 0.178%
Other 1,304 2.218%

1,081

2.389% 223 1.648% 0.741%
TOTALS: 58,788 45,255 13,533

Table Comparing Machine vs Hand Counted Votes in Large Towns (more than 1,500 votes)

Candidate Votes
Large Towns
Avg. Overall
Large Towns
Votes
Large Towns
by Machine
Avg. Overall
Large Towns
by Machine
Votes
Large Towns
by Hand
Avg. Overall
Large Towns
by Hand
Machine VS Hand
in Large Towns
Giuliani 11,747 8.730% 11,634 8.752%

113

6.928% 1.824%
Huckabee 13,546 10.067%

13,237

9.958% 309 18.945% -8.988%
Hunter 622 0.462% 615 0.463%

7

0.429% 0.033%
McCain 48,455 36.009%

47,862

36.005% 593 36.358% -0.353%
Paul 9,251 6.875% 9,131 6.869%

120

7.357% -0.488%
Romney 46,291 34.401%

45,893

34.524% 398 24.402% 10.122%
Thompson 1,469 1.092% 1,447 1.089%

22

1.349% -0.260%
Other 3,181 2.364%

3,112

2.341% 69 4.231% -1.889%
TOTALS: 134,562 132,931 1,631

An interesting blog discussing these findings.

January 11, 2008 Posted by lincolnfarnum | Uncategorized | | No Comments Yet